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美国国家税收和经济评论,2020年第四季度

时间:2022-06-26 13:50:02 来源:网友投稿

下面是小编为大家整理的美国国家税收和经济评论,2020年第四季度,供大家参考。

美国国家税收和经济评论,2020年第四季度

 

 Co nten ts

  A ck n o wl ed g m en t s G et

 Rea l - Ti m e

 Dat a E x ecu t ive Su mm ary

 Tr en d s

 in

 S t ate

 and

 L o cal

 Tax

 Rev enu es

 iv v vi

 1

 Tr e nd s

 i n

 Stat e

 Tax

 R e v enue

 i n

 2019

 Q ua r te r

 4

 6

 P e r s on a l

 I ncome

 Taxe s

 7

 W ith ho ld in g

 8

 Esti m ated P ay m e nt s

 10

 Fin al P ay me nts 14

 R e f un d s

 15

 A ct ua l

 v e r sus

 For e cas te d I ncome

 Tax

 R e v enue s

 16

 Cor po r at e

 I nco me

 Taxe s

 18

 Ge ne r al S a l e s

 Taxe s

 20

 M oto r

 F ue l

 Taxe s

 22

 Oth e r

 T axe s

 23

 Ov e r v i e w

 of

 Tax

 R e v enue s

 i n

 Fi sca l

 Y e a r - To - D at e

 2020

 23

 P r e li m in a r y

 R e v i e w

 of

 Sta te

 Tax

 R e v enue

 i n

 2020

 Q ua rt e r

 1

 25

 F acto r s

 D r ivin g

 S t ate

 Ta x

 Rev enu es

 27

 Economic I n d icat or s

 27

 State Gr o ss

 D ome st ic

 P r od uct

 27

 State U ne mplo y m e nt

 an d E mplo y m e nt

 29

 P e r s on a l

 Con sum ptio n

 Exp en d itu r e s

 31

 H ousi ng

 M a r k e t

 33

 Tax

 L aw Cha ng e s

 A ff e ct in g

 the

 F ou r th

 Qu a rt e r

 of

 2019

 36

 Con clus ion

 40

 A ppen dix:

 Ad d ition al

 T ab les

 42

 N o t es

 54

 Re f eren ces

 56

 A b o u t

 t he

 A u t h o r

 57

 S t atem en t

 of

 Indepen d en ce

 58

 Acknowle dg m ents

 The

 v i e w s

 e xp r e ss e d ar e

 t hose

 of

 th e

 a uth o r

 a nd s ho u l d no t

 b e

 att ri b ut e d to

 th e

 U r b a n

 I nsti t ut e ,

 i ts tr ust ee s,

 or

 i ts

 f un d e r s.

 Fu n d e r s

 do n ot

 d e t e r mi ne

 r e se a r ch

 fi nd in g s

 o r

 th e

 i nsi g hts a nd r e c om m en dat io ns

 of

 U r b a n

 e xp e r ts.

 Fu r th e r

 i n for mat io n

 o n

 t he

 U r b an

 I nst itu t e ’ s

 fund i ng

 p ri ncipl e s

 i s av ailab l e

 at ur b an.o r g /fun d i ng p r inciple s .

 Than k s

 to

 K im R ue b en

 an d M a r k

 M a z u r

 fo r

 th e ir

 th ou g htful

 r e view

 o f

 an d f ee db ac k

 on th e

 r e po r t.

 Get

 Real - Time Dat a

 The

 S ta t e

 Tax

 a nd Econ om ic

 R e v i e w

 i s

 th e

 pr ee mi ne nt

 s ou r c e

 of

 dat a

 an d a nal y si s

 o n

 stat e

 tax coll e ct io ns.

 The

 U r b an

 I n stit ute ’ s

 State an d L ocal Fin a nce

 I ni ti ati v e

 r e g ul a r ly

 co ll e ct s

 d ata

 an d in fo r mat io n

 fr om

 a ll

 50

 stat e s,

 us e s

 th is i nfo r mat io n

 to

 ad ju st

 nat io n al a nd s tat e

 d a ta fr o m

 th e

 U S Ce nsus

 Bu r e au,

 th en

 p r ov i d e s

 th e

 mo st

 t im e ly ,

 acc ur ate ,

 and

 i n - d e pth

 lo o k

 at ho w

 st ate s

 ar e

 f a r in g .

 V is it

 o u r

 p r oj e ct

 pa g e

 to

 r e a d pr e v io us

 S t a t e

 Tax

 an d E con o mi c

 R e v i e w

 r ep or ts

 an d su b scr ib e

 to

 g a in d ir e ct

 acce ss

 to

 th e

 f ol l owin g

 d atase ts :

 Mo n th l y

 S t a te

 Go v e r nme nt

 T a x

 Re v e nu e

 D a t a

 D ata

 fr o m

 a ll

 sta te s

 fr o m

 2010

 to

 p r e se nt

 o n

 r e v enue

 fr om

 th e

 i nd iv id ual in co me

 t a x,

 cor po r at e

 i ncome tax,

 g ene r a l

 sale s

 t ax,

 an d to tal

 tax e s.

 Mo n th l y

 S t a te

 Go v e r nme nt

 Person a l

 Inc om e

 T a x

 D a t a

 D ata

 fr o m

 41

 stat e s

 w it h

 b r oad - b as e d in co me

 tax e s

 fr o m

 2010

 to

 p r e s e nt

 fo r

 t he

 f o ll ow i ng

 co mpone nts of

 pe r so nal in co me

 t axe s:

 w i thh ol d i ng ,

 e sti mate d pay me nts,

 fin a l

 pay m e nts,

 r e f un d s,

 and

 t otal

 ne t pe r s on a l

 in c ome

 tax e s.

 Q u a rterl y

 S t a t e

 G ov e rnm ent

 T a x

 Re v e nu e

 Data

 D ata

 fr o m

 a ll

 sta te s

 fr o m

 2010

 to

 p r e se nt

 o n

 tax r e v enue

 fr om

 t he

 in d iv i d ua l

 in c ome

 tax,

 co r po r at e in come

 tax,

 g ene r a l

 sale s

 t a x,

 and

 m oto r

 fu e l

 t ax.

 Ann u a l

 S ta t e

 G ov e rnm ent

 T a x

 Re v e nu e

 C ol l ection s v ersu s O ff i c i a l

 F ore c a s t s D ata

 fr o m

 ne a r ly

 al l

 stat e s

 f r om

 fisca l

 y e a r

 2015

 on w a r d fo r

 actual r e v enue

 co ll e ct i on s

 a nd r e v enue for ecasts

 for

 th e

 i n d iv i d ua l

 i ncome

 tax,

 co r po r at e

 i ncome

 tax,

 an d g ene r a l

 sale s

 t ax.

 Ann u a l

 S ta t e

 a nd

 Loc a l

 Go v e rnm ent

 Ga m b li ng

 Re v e nu e

 D a ta

 D ata

 fr o m

 a ll

 sta te s

 for

 fis ca l

 y e a r

 2000

 onw ar d for

 r e v enue s

 col le ct e d on v a r io us

 ty pe s

 of

 g a mb li n g , inclu d i ng

 lo tt e r y ,

 pa ri - m utu e ls ,

 cas in os

 an d r acin os,

 an d v id e o g am e s.

 Mo n th l y

 S t a te

 Go v e r nme nt

 Ma ri j uana

 T a x

 Re v e n ue

 D a ta

 D ata

 fr o m

 a ll

 sta te s

 that

 t ax

 sale s

 of

 r e c r e ati on a l

 ma r ij uana

 fr om

 in cep tio n

 o f

 t he

 t ax

 to

 pr e s e nt.

 Ex ecuti v e

 Sum mary 

 S tate

 a nd

 l oca l

 g ov e rnm ent

 ta x

 r e v e nu e s fr o m

 majo r

 so ur c e s — pe r son a l

 i ncome ,

 corpor at e in come ,

 sa le s,

 a nd p r op e r ty

 taxe s — w e r e

 6. 0

 pe r c e nt

 hi g he r

 in

 th e

 fou r th

 q u ar t e r

 of

 2019

 than in

 th e

 p r io r

 y e a r ;

 t hi s

 g r ow t h

 w as

 st r on g e r

 t han

 t he

 5. 2

 pe r c e nt

 ave r ag e

 a nnu al g r o w th

 r at e s

 for the

 p r io r

 f ou r

 q u ar t e r s.

 

 S tate

 gov e rn me n t

 t a x

 re v e nu e s fr om

 maj o r

 s ou r ce s

 sh ow e d sol id

 y e a r - ov e r - y e a r

 g r ow th

 at 6. 6 pe r c e nt

 in

 t he

 f ou r th

 q ua rt e r

 of

 201 9.

 The

 g r ow th

 v a ri e d am on g

 ma jor r e v enue

 sou r ce s :

 » S tate

 pe r s on a l

 i ncome

 ta x

 r e v e nu e s ha v e

 flu ct uat e d s u b stan tia l ly

 fol lo win g

 t he

 p as sag e

 of the

 T ax

 Cuts

 an d Jo b s

 A ct

 o f

 2017

 (TC J A ),

 whi ch

 c r e ated i nce nt iv e s

 for

 som e

 taxp a y e r s

 t o shi ft

 i ncome

 b e tw een

 tax y e ar s

 a nd t o d e l ay

 e st imat e d i ncome

 tax q ua rt e r ly

 pay me nts i nt o the

 e xt e nsion a nd fin a l

 pay m en ts

 pe ri od .

 H ow e v e r ,

 g r o w th

 i n

 st ate pe r so nal in co m e

 tax r e v enue s

 w as

 b ac k

 to

 no r m al l e v e l s

 i n

 t he

 se cond ha lf

 o f

 201 9.

 » S tate

 s a l e s t a x

 r e v e nu es

 ha ve e xp e r ie nce d u ni nt e rr upt e d g r ow th

 s in c e

 th e

 fi r st

 q u ar t e r

 of

 2010 ,

 b ut

 t h is g r ow th

 has

 la gg e d th e

 r ate s

 ob se r v e d i n

 p r e v i ou s

 e con om ic

 e xp a nsion s. State sale s

 tax r e v enue s

 ha v e

 s een

 so me

 bo ost

 i n

 th e

 m o st

 r ece nt

 m o nth s,

 mo stly

 in r e sp on s e

 to

 th e

 U S

 Sup r e m e

 Co ur t’ s

 d e cis io n

 i n

 S o ut h

 D ako t a

 v .

 Way fai r,

 I n c.

 in

 Ju ne

 2018 and

 s ub se q ue nt

 c han g e s

 i n

 s tate

 t ax

 r ul e s .

 » S tate

 c orpo r a t e

 i ncom e

 ta x

 re v e nu es

 onc e

 a g ai n

 sh ow e d st r on g

 y e a r - ov e r - y e ar

 g r o w th

 i n

 the

 f ou r th

 q ua rt e r

 of

 2019 ,

 mar k i ng

 t he

 s e v e nt h

 con s e c uti v e

 q ua rt e r

 of

 doub l e - d ig it g r ow th.

 H ow e v e r ,

 st ate offi cial s

 h ad

 c auti on ed

 t hat t he

 doub l e - d ig it

 g r ow t h

 w as

 pa r tia ll y cause d b y

 the

 chan g e s

 m ad e

 i n

 th e

 TCJ A

 an d w ou ld

 lev e l

 o ff

 in

 th e

 com in g

 quar t e r s .

 Fur t he r ,

 un d e r

 t he

 C or on av ir us

 Ai d ,

 R e l ie f,

 a nd Econ om i c Se cu r ity

 (C A R ES)

 A ct

 pass e d in M a r ch

 2020 ,

 ne t

 op e r ati ng

 l osse s

 (NOLs) in cu rr e d i n

 cal en d ar

 y e a r s

 201 8,

 201 9,

 a n d 2020 , can

 b e

 ca rr ie d back to

 e ach

 of

 th e

 fiv e

 tax y e ar s

 p r ece d i ng

 th e

 t ax

 y e a r

 of

 such

 lo ss.

 The r e for e ,

 co r po r at e

 i ncome

 tax r e v enue s

 cou l d b e

 lo w e r e d fo r

 prio r

 fis ca l

 y e a r s

 in

 tho s e state s

 that

 have

 r o lli ng

 con for m ity

 w ith

 t he

 I nt e r na l

 R e v enue

 S e r vice

 t ax

 cod e

 a nd have N OL

 car r y b ac k

 p r ov is i on s.

 

 Ye a r - ov e r - y e ar

 g r ow th

 i n

 l oc a l

 gov e rnm ent

 ta x

 r e v e nu e s f r om

 maj or

 sou r ce s

 w as

 5 . 6

 pe r c e nt in

 th e

 four t h

 q ua r te r

 of

 2019 ,

 whi ch

 w as

 s li g htl y

 st r o ng e r

 t han

 th e

 5. 3

 ave r a g e

 an n ual g r ow th ob s e r v e d in

 t he

 p ri or

 f ou r

 quar t e r s.

 » Loc a l

 prope rty

 ta x

 re v e nu es

 in c r e ase d 5. 8

 pe r ce nt

 y e a r

 ov e r

 y e a r

 in

 th e

 fou r th

 q u ar te r

 of 2019

 c om pa r e d w i th

 a

 y e ar

 e a rli e r ,

 w h ich

 i s

 s tr on g e r

 th an

 th e

 5 . 1

 pe r cen t

 ave r a g e

 g r ow th

  in

 th e

 p r io r

 four

 q ua rt e r s.

 L ocal p r op e r ty

 tax r e v enu es ,

 jus t

 l ik e

 sta te

 pe r son al a nd cor po r at e

 i ncome

 tax r e v enue s,

 fl uctuat e d w il d ly

 i n

 th e

 r e c e nt

 q u ar t e r s ,

 par t ia l ly

 in r e sp on s e

 to

 th e

 TCJ A ’s

 chan g e s ,

 as

 taxp aye r s

 ad j ust e d t he

 t im i ng

 of

 pay m e nts .

 

 Prel i mi nary

 d a ta

 f or

 t he

 fi r s t

 qua r te r

 of

 2020

 s ho w e d g r ow th

 i n

 o v e r al l

 stat e

 t ax

 r e v enue coll e ct io ns .

 How e v e r ,

 g r ow th

 w as

 m ostl y

 att ri butab l e

 t o Janua r y

 an d F e b r ua r y ,

 an d state t ax r e v enue s

 star t e d d e cl in i ng

 i n

 M a r ch

 b e caus e

 of

 th e

 CO V ID - 19

 pan d e mic .

 » Ye a r - ov e r - y e ar

 g r ow th

 r at e s

 for

 s t a te

 pe r s on a l

 i ncom e

 ta x

 r e v enue s

 v a ri e d w id e ly

 acr oss the

 st ate s

 i n

 th e

 fi r st

 q ua r te r

 of

 2020 ,

 w ith

 11

 stat e s

 r ep or ti ng

 d e cli ne s,

 21

 stat e s

 r e por ti ng si ng le - d i g it

 g r ow th,

 an d a no the r

 9

 st ate s

 r e po rti ng

 doub le - d ig it

 g r ow t h.

 » A ft e r

 s ho w i ng

 doub l e - d ig it

 y e ar - ov e r - y e ar

 g r ow th

 for

 s e v en

 con s e cut iv e

 q ua r te r s,

 sta te

 c orpora te

 i ncom e

 t a x

 co ll e c tio ns

 w e a k ene d i n

 th e

 fi r st

 quar t e r

 of

 2020 .

 H ow e v e r ,

 th e r e w as

 w id e

 var ia ti on ac r os s

 th e

 stat e s ,

 a nd t he

 r e v enue

 g r ow th

 e xp e ri ence d in

 th e

 me dia n state w as

 st r on g e r .

 » Ye a r - ov e r - y e ar

 g r ow th

 i n

 s t a te

 s a l e s t a x

 co ll e ct io ns

 i n

 t he

 f ir st

 q u ar t e r

 of

 2020

 w as

 s tr o ng

 in

 m ost

 stat e s

 an d ab ov e

 5. 0

 pe r c e nt

 in

 23

 sta te s.

 T he

 r ece nt

 st r en g th

 i n

 sa le s

 tax coll e ct io ns

 i...

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